This is troubling news. We were seeing a trend of delinquencies and foreclosures falling, now this report is showing a reversal of that trend. I guess we are not out of the woods yet… This is probably reflective of the unemployment rate inching up again. Jobs, Jobs, Jobs is what the housing market needs…
From Calculatedriskblog.com: This graph shows the percent of loans delinquent by days past due.
Loans 30 days delinquent increased to 3.46% from 3.35% in Q1. This is probably related to the increase in the unemployment rate.
Delinquent loans in the 60 day bucket increased slightly to 1.37% from 1.35%.
There was a slight decrease in the 90+ day delinquent bucket. This decreased to 3.61% from 3.65% in Q1 2011.
The percent of loans in the foreclosure process decreased to 4.43%.
So short term delinquencies ticked up, and the 90+ day and in-foreclosure rates declined. I’ll have more later after the conference call this morning.
(From MBAA Press Release) WASHINGTON, D.C. (August 22, 2011) — The delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one-to-four-unit residential properties increased to a seasonally adjusted rate of 8.44 percent of all loans outstanding as of the end of the second quarter of 2011, an increase of 12 basis points from the first quarter of 2011, and a decrease of 141 basis points from one year ago, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) National Delinquency Survey. The non-seasonally adjusted delinquency rate increased 32 basis points to 8.11 percent this quarter from 7.79 percent last quarter.
“While overall mortgage delinquencies increased only slightly between the first and second quarters of this year, it is clear that the downward trend we saw through most of 2010 has stopped. Mortgage delinquencies are no longer improving and are now showing some signs of worsening,” said Jay Brinkmann, MBA’s Chief Economist. “The good news is the continued decline in long-term delinquencies, those mortgages that are three payments or more past due. The bad news is that drop is offset by an increase in newly delinquent loans one payment past due.”
UPDATED: Hats off the calculated risk blog. They keep coming up with great statistics. For more charts like the one below, check out their updated post. Although Minnesota isn’t in the worst shape by comparison to other states, we are still in rough shape – approx 8% of first mortgages are either in foreclosure or more than 30 days delinquent. Staggering. That is 8% of all first mortgages in Minnesota. (back to our new real estate motto: Jobs, Jobs, Jobs.)